Tuesday, October 25, 2011

New Poll Shows More SB 5, Kasich Support (Updated)

Posted By on Tue, Oct 25, 2011 at 11:00 AM


Update: Less than one month after there was a slight uptick in support of SB5, there's been a significant downturn with the November 8 elections and Issue 2 referendum just a few weeks away. In fact, the story is now the exact opposite.

The latest polls from Quinnipiac
have SB5 going down and going down hard, like a jobber being slammed through the Spanish announcer's table by Hulk Hogan. Opponents of SB5 now have a sizable lead — 57 to 32 — in what is shaping up to be a contest whose final outcome will be known well in advance. A 25-point lead is surely insurmountable at this point. Kasich and company have about as good a chance coming back from that deficit as the Browns would, which is to say: zero.

Kasich's numbers, which seem to ebb and flow with the Issue 2 numbers, have taken a similar dive from their previous high mark of 40 (approval) just a month ago. The Ohio gov's approval rating now stands at just 36 percent; disapproval numbers are up to 52.

Unfortunately, we'll still have to endure the avalanche of ads from both sides of Issue 2 over the next two weeks. Sorry.


In the most recent Quinnipiac Poll, Ohio Governor John Kasich saw the first positive news since he took office: his approval rating jumped from 35% this summer to 40%. Still not great digits for the Gov — his disapproval rating hasn't changed much from the 50% mark — but it's something.

Plunderbund digs into the numbers a bit deeper, finding that the 5% bump in approval can be attributed to Republicans coming back to roost, chiming in this time 72% positive/18% negative as opposed to this summer when the plus-side was only at 66%. Also, men came in 45/46 approval/disapproval in the latest batch. It had been 40/48.

As for everyone's favorite flashpoint, SB 5 also enjoyed a hike in support according to the new poll numbers. What was a 51/38 approval/disapproval is now a 56/32. Again, not the strongest move on the applause meter, but a definite move toward the pro-SB 5 camp. (Plunderbund notes that like support for Kasich, this rally toward SB 5 seems to be coming from the GOP, which is now at 65/23 approval/disapproval on the issue whereas before the Republicans asked were at 56/35.

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